In 2025, the ModStatSAP network will have the pleasure of welcoming British colleagues to a joint workshop. The programme will feature oral presentations, a poster session, a panel discussion, and group discussions on potential future collaborative initiatives between the French and British modelling communities.

While the interface between modelling and policy will be a central theme throughout the workshop, we invite contributions on any aspect of mathematical and statistical modelling applied to plant and animal pathogens.

Dates and Location

Dates: 21–22 October 2025

Location: Institut des Systèmes Complexes (ISC-PIF), Auditorium, 113 rue Nationale, 75013 Paris. The venue is accessible via Metro Line 6 (Nationale station, direct from Gare Montparnasse) or Metro Line 14 (Olympiades station, direct from Gare de Lyon), followed by a 5–10 minute walk.

Funding

Attendance at the workshop is free of charge. A limited budget is available to subsidise participation for some attendees. Subsidies will be granted on a first-come, first-served basis, within the constraints of available funds.

Registration

Closed

Preliminary Schedule

Tuesday, 21 October

• 10:30–11:15 – Registration & Coffee
• 11:15–11:20 – Workshop introduction
• 11:20–12:00 – Invited talk by S. Lambert (ENVT-INRAE) - TBA
• 12:00–12:20 – S. Gubbins (The Pirbright Institute) - Spread of bluetongue and its control in Great Britain: a personal view of a decade using models for policy advice
• 12:20–12:40 – G. Thébaud (INRAE PHIM) - Estimation of reproduction numbers of sharka epidemics with and without disease control
• 12:40–13:00 – O. Restif (University of Cambridge) - Inferring henipavirus transmission dynamics in bat populations from field data
• 13:00–14:00 – Lunch & Posters
• 14:00–14:40 – Invited talk by C. Dupuy (ANSES-ESA) and L. Michel (INRAE-ESV) - The animal and plant health epidemiological surveillance platforms in France
• 14:40–15:00 – A. Benard (INRAE BioSP) - Best of Both Worlds? Integrating Standardized and Opportunistic Data for Predictive Modelling of Plant Pathogen Distributions
• 15:00–15:20 – J. Koh (University of Warwick) - Assessing Delimiting Strategies to Identify the Infested Zones of Quarantine Plant Pests and Diseases
• 15:20–16:00 – Invited talk by E. Brooks Pollock (University of Bristol) - Mechanistic modelling to inform animal health decision-making
• 16:00–16:40 – Coffee Break
• 16:40–17:20 – Invited talk by C. Gilligan (University of Cambridge) - TBA
• 17:20–18:00 – Panel discussion - Epidemiological modelling to inform policy
• 18:00–21:00 – Posters & Buffet

Wednesday, 22 October

• 08:45–09:00 – Registration & Coffee
• 09:00–09:40 – Invited talk by J. Illian (University of Glasgow) - Efficient spatio-temporal modelling in practice
• 09:40–10:00 – C. Jewel (Lancaster University) - Gemlib: a composable toolkit for probabilistic infectious disease models
• 10:00–10:40 – Coffee Break
• 10:40–11:20 – Invited talk by S. Soubeyrand (INRAE BioSP) - TBA
• 11:20–11:40 – A. Apolloni (ANSES EPISABE) - Improving the surveillance system of Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) in Nigeria, using network tools to describe disease propagation and estimate the effect of missing information
• 11:40–12:00 – H. Cecilia (INRAE BIOEPAR) - The Modeling in Animal Health consortium (ModAH-Hub)
• 12:00–13:00 – Group Discussion
• 13:00–14:00 – Lunch

Posters List

• Basak, S. (INRAE SAVE) – Epidemiological Modeling of Resistance Deployment Scenarios Against Flavescence Dorée
• Bastard, J. (ANSES LSV) – Unravelling absence of circulation and absence of detection of a zoonotic pathogen: a spatio-temporal occupancy modelling approach
• Bosse, P. (INRAE Maiage) – TBA
• Catterall, S. (Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland) – Modelling disease spread when the populations at risk are poorly mapped
• Monaury, C. (Institut agro de Rennes-Angers, IGEPP) – Individual behavior can challenge the management of virulence
• Coleman, M. (Animal and Plant Health Agency, Department of Epidemiological Sciences) – Operational use of models for Animal Health – Building tools to provide evidence for policy advice
• Dubois, R. (INRAE IGEPP) – Quantification de la sévérité des maladies des plantes par analyses d'images
• Ettahri, S. (INRAE BIOEPAR - ANSES EPISABE) – The Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome virus transmission parameters: a systematic review and a deterministic MSEIR-type modeling
• Eze, J. (SRUC, Centre for Epidemiology and Planetary Health - School of Veterinary Medicine) – Epidemic and endemic components of cryptosporidiosis cases: accounting for spatiotemporal dependencies
• Hayes, B. (Université de Toulouse-INRAE-ENVT IHAP) – From production cycles to policy: Assessing biosecurity interventions against H5N8 HPAI transmission dynamics in poultry farms in Southwest France, 2020–2021
• Knight, M. (Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland) – Large-scale modelling: Agent-based modelling of behavioural responses to disease interventions: an application to the Scottish cattle trade industry
• Martinez, C. (INRAE Écodéveloppement) – Multiscale spatio-temporal model averaging: a new approach applied to epidemic dynamics
• Pinotti, F. (INRAE EPIA) – Simulation-based inference of epidemic and phylodynamic models via neural posterior estimation
• Reype, C. (INRAE Abeilles et Environnement) – A strategy to help beekeepers choose breeder colonies using vine copulas
• Rimbaud, L. (INRAE Pathologie végétale) – Can pesticide applications to control black sigatoka of banana be reduced thanks to spatiotemporal strategies or economic incentives?
• Saldaña, F. (INRAE BIOEPAR) – Exploring the Impact of Dose-Dependent Transmission in Multiscale Models of Arboviral Transmission
• Sun, H. (INRAE URZF) – How to eradicate an invasive forest pest without clear-cutting
• Thébaud, G. (INRAE PHIM) – The private management of plant disease epidemics: Infection levels and social inefficiencies

Participants List

• Adamczyk, Katarzyna – INRAE, MathNum
• Andraud, Mathieu – ANSES, EPISABE
• Apolloni, Andrea – ANSES, EPISABE
• Arnoux, Sandie – INRAE, BIOEPAR
• Basak, Subhasish – INRAE, SAVE
• Bastard, Jonathan – ANSES, Laboratory for Animal Health
• Benard, Annaelle – INRAE, BioSP
• Benoit, Durand – ANSES, EPIMIM
• Boixel, Anne Lise – INRAE, BIOGER
• Bosse, Paul – INRAE, Maiage
• Bousset, Lydia – INRAE, SPE
• Brooks Pollock, Ellen – University of Bristol, Population Health Sciences
• Carpentier, Florence – AgroParistech, Maiage
• Catterall, Stephen – Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland
• Cecilia, Hélène – INRAE, BIOEPAR
• Chen, Mathilde – Cirad, PHIM
• Coleman, Matthew – Animal and Plant Health Agency, Department of Epidemiological Sciences
• Conlan, Andrew – University of Cambridge, Disease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine
• Dubois, Romane – INRAE, IGEPP
• Dupuy, Céline – ANSES, EAS-Plateforme ESA
• Ettahri, Salma – INRAE-ANSES-University of Rennes, Bioepar for INRAE and Episabe in Anses
• Eze, Jude – SRUC, Centre for Epidemiology and Planetary Health (CEPH), School of Veterinary Medicine
• Fabre, Fred – INRAE, UMR SAVE
• Fotso Fotso, Yves– INRAE, IGEPP
• Fournié, Guillaume – INRAE, EPIA
• Gilligan, Christopher – University of Cambridge
• Gubbins, Simon – The Pirbright Institute, Transmission Biology
• Guillaumin, Manon – INRAE Nantes, BIOEPAR
• Hadley, Liza – University of Colorado Boulder / University of Cambridge, Department of Computer Science / Department of Veterinary Medicine
• Hayes, Brandon – Université de Toulouse-INRAE-ENVT, UMR 1225 IHAP
• Henriot, Paul – INRAE, EPIA
• Hoch, Thierry – INRAE, UMR BIOEPAR / Animal Health
• Hoscheit, Patrick – INRAE, MaIAGE, MathNum
• Illian, Janine – University of Glasgow, School of Mathematics and Statistics
• Jewell, Chris – Lancaster University, School of Mathematical Sciences
• Kao, Rowland – University of Edinburgh, Roslin Institute and School of Physics and Astronomy
• Knight, Martin – Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland, Large-scale modelling
• Koh, Jun Min Joshua – University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
• Lambert, Sébastien – ENVT-INRAE, IHAP (Département Santé Animale)
• Leclerc, Melen – INRAE, IGEPP
• Marjou, Marine – INRAE, BioSP
• Martinez, César – INRAE, Écodéveloppement
• Michel, Lucie – INRAE, BioSP
• Monaury, Clément – Institut Agro de Rennes-Angers, IGEPP
• Parnell, Stephen – University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
• Pinotti, Francesco – INRAE, EPIA
• Porphyre, Thibaud – VetAgro Sup, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive
• Restif, Olivier – University of Cambridge, Veterinary Medicine
• Reype, Christophe – INRAE, Abeilles et Environnement
• Rimbaud, Loup – INRAE, Pathologie végétale
• Roustit, Manon – INRAE, BIOEPAR
• Saldaña, Fernando – INRAE, BIOEPAR
• Soubeyrand, Samuel – INRAE, BioSP
• Sun, Hongyu – INRAE, URZF
• Thébaud, Gaël – INRAE, PHIM
• Thébault, Anne – ANSES
• Touzeau, Suzanne – INRAE, ISA / MathNum