In 2025, the ModStatSAP network will have the pleasure of welcoming British colleagues to a joint workshop. The programme will feature oral presentations, a poster session, a panel discussion, and group discussions on potential future collaborative initiatives between the French and British modelling communities.
While the interface between modelling and policy will be a central theme throughout the workshop, we invite contributions on any aspect of mathematical and statistical modelling applied to plant and animal pathogens.
Dates and Location
Dates: 21–22 October 2025
Location: TOTEM Auditorium, 11 Place Nationale, 75013 Paris. The venue is accessible via Metro Line 6 (Nationale station, direct from Gare Montparnasse) or Metro Line 14 (Olympiades station, direct from Gare de Lyon), followed by a 5–10 minute walk.
Schedule
Tuesday, 21 October
- 10:30–11:30 – Registration & Coffee
- 11:30–11:40 – Workshop introduction
- 11:40–12:20 – Invited talk by S. Lambert (ENVT-INRAE) - Modelling avian influenza to support policy: a collective experience
- 12:20–12:40 – G. Thébaud (INRAE PHIM) - Estimation of reproduction numbers of sharka epidemics with and without disease control
- 12:40–13:00 – O. Restif (University of Cambridge) - Inferring henipavirus transmission dynamics in bat populations from field data
- 13:00–14:00 – Lunch & Posters
- 14:00–14:40 – Invited talk by C. Dupuy (ANSES-ESA) and L. Michel (INRAE-ESV) - The animal and plant health epidemiological surveillance platforms in France
- 14:40–15:00 – A. Benard (INRAE BioSP) - Best of Both Worlds? Integrating Standardized and Opportunistic Data for Predictive Modelling of Plant Pathogen Distributions
- 15:00–15:20 – J. Koh (University of Warwick) - Assessing Delimiting Strategies to Identify the Infested Zones of Quarantine Plant Pests and Diseases
- 15:20–16:00 – Invited talk by E. Brooks Pollock (University of Bristol) - Mechanistic modelling to inform animal health decision-making
- 16:00–16:30 – Coffee Break
- 16:30–17:10 – Invited talk by S. Parnell (University of Warwick) - Informing surveillance for emerging plant diseases: bridging models & policy
- 17:10–18:00 – Panel discussion - C. Dupuy (ANSES-ESA), L. Michel (INRAE-ESV), L. Hadley (University of Colorado Boulder / University of Cambridge), M. Coleman (APHA), G. Torres (OMSA) - Modelling for policy: how can we better organise the modelling community to support decision-making?
- 18:00–21:00 – Posters & Buffet
Wednesday, 22 October
- 08:45–09:00 – Registration & Coffee
- 09:00–09:40 – Invited talk by J. Illian (University of Glasgow) - Efficient spatio-temporal modelling in practice
- 09:40–10:00 – C. Jewel (Lancaster University) - Gemlib: a composable toolkit for probabilistic infectious disease models
- 10:00–10:40 – Coffee Break
- 10:40–11:20 – Invited talk by S. Soubeyrand (INRAE BioSP) - Leveraging surveillance data for inferring the spread of diseases and pests
- 11:20–11:40 – A. Apolloni (ANSES EPISABE) - Improving the surveillance system of Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) in Nigeria, using network tools to describe disease propagation and estimate the effect of missing information
- 11:40–12:00 – H. Cecilia (INRAE BIOEPAR) - The Modeling in Animal Health consortium (ModAH-Hub)
- 12:00–13:00 – Group Discussion
- 13:00–14:00 – Lunch
Posters List
- Basak, S. (INRAE SAVE) – Epidemiological Modeling of Resistance Deployment Scenarios Against Flavescence Dorée
- Bastard, J. (ANSES LSV) – Unravelling absence of circulation and absence of detection of a zoonotic pathogen: a spatio-temporal occupancy modelling approach
- Catterall, S. (Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland) – Modelling disease spread when the populations at risk are poorly mapped
- Coleman, M. (Animal and Plant Health Agency, Department of Epidemiological Sciences) – Operational use of models for Animal Health – Building tools to provide evidence for policy advice
- Dubois, R. (INRAE IGEPP) – Weakly supervised segmentation of leaf symptoms in field conditions
- Ettahri, S. (INRAE BIOEPAR - ANSES EPISABE) – The Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome virus transmission parameters: a systematic review and a deterministic MSEIR-type modeling
- Eze, J. (SRUC, Centre for Epidemiology and Planetary Health - School of Veterinary Medicine) – Epidemic and endemic components of cryptosporidiosis cases: accounting for spatiotemporal dependencies
- Knight, M. (Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland) – Large-scale modelling: Agent-based modelling of behavioural responses to disease interventions: an application to the Scottish cattle trade industry
- Martinez, C. (INRAE Écodéveloppement) – Multiscale spatio-temporal model averaging: a new approach applied to epidemic dynamics
- Monaury, C. (Institut agro de Rennes-Angers, IGEPP) – Individual behavior can challenge the management of virulence
- Pinotti, F. (INRAE EPIA) – Simulation-based inference of epidemic and phylodynamic models via neural posterior estimation
- Reype, C. (INRAE Abeilles et Environnement) – A strategy to help beekeepers choose breeder colonies using vine copulas
- Saldaña, F. (INRAE BIOEPAR) – Exploring the Impact of Dose-Dependent Transmission in Multiscale Models of Arboviral Transmission
- Sun, H. (INRAE URZF) – How to eradicate an invasive forest pest without clear-cutting
- Thébaud, G. (INRAE PHIM) – The private management of plant disease epidemics: Infection levels and social inefficiencies
Participants List
- Adamczyk, Katarzyna – INRAE, MaIAGE
- Andraud, Mathieu – ANSES, EPISABE
- Apolloni, Andrea – ANSES, EPISABE
- Arnoux, Sandie – INRAE, BIOEPAR
- Barnier, Andree – INRAE, MaIAGE
- Basak, Subhasish – INRAE, SAVE
- Bastard, Jonathan – ANSES, Laboratory for Animal Health
- Benard, Annaelle – INRAE, BioSP
- Benoit, Durand – ANSES, EPIMIM
- Boixel, Anne Lise – INRAE, BIOGER
- Bosse, Paul – INRAE, MaIAGE
- Bousset, Lydia – INRAE, IGEPP
- Brooks Pollock, Ellen – University of Bristol, Population Health Sciences
- Carpentier, Florence – AgroParistech, Maiage
- Catterall, Stephen – Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland
- Cecilia, Hélène – INRAE, BIOEPAR
- Chen, Mathilde – Cirad, PHIM
- Coleman, Matthew – Animal and Plant Health Agency, Department of Epidemiological Sciences
- Conlan, Andrew – University of Cambridge, Disease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine
- Delattre, Maud – INRAE, MaIAGE
- Dubois, Romane – INRAE, IGEPP
- Dupuy, Céline – ANSES, EAS-Plateforme ESA
- Ettahri, Salma – INRAE, BIOEPAR - ANSES, EPISABE
- Eze, Jude – SRUC, Centre for Epidemiology and Planetary Health (CEPH), School of Veterinary Medicine
- Fabre, Fred – INRAE, UMR SAVE
- Fotso Fotso, Yves– INRAE, IGEPP
- Fournié, Guillaume – INRAE, EPIA
- Gubbins, Simon – The Pirbright Institute, Transmission Biology
- Guillaumin, Manon – INRAE, BIOEPAR
- Hadley, Liza – University of Colorado Boulder / University of Cambridge, Department of Computer Science / Department of Veterinary Medicine
- Henriot, Paul – INRAE, EPIA
- Hoch, Thierry – INRAE, BIOEPAR
- Hoscheit, Patrick – INRAE, MaIAGE
- Illian, Janine – University of Glasgow, School of Mathematics and Statistics
- Jewell, Chris – Lancaster University, School of Mathematical Sciences
- Kao, Rowland – University of Edinburgh, Roslin Institute and School of Physics and Astronomy
- Knight, Martin – Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland, Large-scale modelling
- Koh, Jun Min Joshua – University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
- Lambert, Sébastien – ENVT-INRAE, IHAP
- Leclerc, Melen – INRAE, IGEPP
- Marjou, Marine – INRAE, BioSP
- Martinez, César – INRAE, Écodéveloppement
- Michel, Lucie – INRAE, BioSP
- Monaury, Clément – Institut Agro de Rennes-Angers, IGEPP
- Parnell, Stephen – University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences
- Pinotti, Francesco – INRAE, EPIA
- Porphyre, Thibaud – VetAgro Sup, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive
- Restif, Olivier – University of Cambridge, Veterinary Medicine
- Reype, Christophe – INRAE, Abeilles et Environnement
- Rimbaud, Loup – INRAE, Pathologie végétale
- Roustit, Manon – INRAE, BIOEPAR
- Saldaña, Fernando – INRAE, BIOEPAR
- Soubeyrand, Samuel – INRAE, BioSP
- Sun, Hongyu – INRAE, URZF
- Thébaud, Gaël – INRAE, PHIM
- Thébault, Anne – ANSES
- Torres, Gregorio – OMSA
- Tu, I-Ting – University of Glasgow
Funding acknowledgments
This workshop is funded by INRAE's Research Divisions for Mathematics and Digital Technologies (MathNum), Animal Health (SA) and Plant Health and Environment (SPE), and Biosphera, the Graduate School of Paris-Saclay University.
